The Future of the Desktop



Are we there yet?

After years of struggling to consolidate and effectively utilise data center resources, the IT industry has, it could be said, been successful in creating new paradigms and new technological innovations to better use less-for-more. At least that's the theory. The practical application lacks some credibility as the myriad of factors around sizing and provisioning usually results in more-for-the same. This conundrum is further complicated by the ever-expanding demand for desktop resources. Delivering applications to the desktop using current technologies requires a lot of back-end resourcing.
The term 'Desktop' applies to any device that can receive applications and services from the data center. 'Desktop' isn't any longer restricted to the familiar workstation/PC. It can be a cell-phone, a tablet, notebook, terminal-client, Smart TV and so on. This plethora of gadget-types further strains the back-end provisioning and resourcing needed to deliver to millions of devices in remote locations 24X7 or, even high numbers of users within the LAN. 'Less infrastructure for more usage' becomes a rather thin and reedy mantra when mobility, TV and *BYOD is included with desktop PCs and workstations as clients for remote delivery of applications and services.
*BYOD = Bring Your Own Device
Things have to change
Given the well-known issues around delivering applications to the terminal client, via *VPN, *VDI and from the 'cloud' paradigm, and to the mobile device using Telcos, 'cloud' and the data center, it isn't surprising that up to now the user experience hasn't been a particularly enjoyable one. You can only push so much data down a copper wire, across multiple *WAN devices and over long distances. Add to this the multiple operating systems and protocols being used and the lack of co-operation between market-leading vendors and you have a recipe for slow, attenuated and intermittent reception. There is also a lack of integration of many desktop applications when they finally get to the device.
*VPN = Virtual Private Network
*VDI = Virtual Desktop Interface
*WAN = Wide Area Network
I want it now and then?
The future is on the desktop and it isn't going to be based on massive silos of hardware in multiple data centers around the globe. User and business demands dictate that IT providers move away from the traditional infrastructure delivery systems to a more elegant and lean provisioning of applications and services to the multiplicity of ever-changing devices and user-needs across the globe. Not great news for hardware vendors but, an irreversible trend has developed that isn't going away any time soon.
The desktop of the future, or the mobile dash-board, or whatever new epithet is created to label the client device, will be able to receive applications from multiple sources. Probably, the 'cloud' will play the major role as the delivery model. A cloud is still the product of a data center but, instead of using specific and particular data centers, applications will be in repositories around the world within environments like *AWS. Where today business invests in data centers to deliver applications, the future will be more about outsourcing to cloud and applications offered on subscription rather than owned by the user or business recipient. This is already happening and it can only increase. For example, imagine you need an application like *SAP or a *CRM but, you only need it for a couple of people for a couple of weeks. To purchase licences, carry out installation and provide the resources needed to run these large and complex applications is costly, time-consuming and financially pointless if you don't need to use them every day for years. Why not simply subscribe to a service in the cloud that can deliver the applications only when you need them and charge only for usage? This makes good business sense and removes the pain associated with owning and installing, maintaining and updating software monsters. Recently, Adobe announced that future upgrades of the applications in its Creative Suite will be from the cloud ONLY. With monthly or yearly subscription for the application/s from software vendors like Adobe, you will be able to finely adjust your budgets for each contract right down to the tools you use. For small graphics offices, students and individuals this is a massive advantage.
*AWS = Amazon Web Services
*SAP = German Software Company Product
*CRM = Customer Relations Management
The Future?
The future of the desktop will be all about flexibility, functionality and interoperability. It's going to be a long while before LINUX, Android and Windows are interoperable. Vendors are not keen to give too much away in a gesture of co-operation. However, with the development of more elegant VDI delivery and desktops that can provide the breadth of functionality users will demand, plus new and exciting paradigms of vendor-agnostic application delivery that do not rely on back-end resources but, utilise the client resources, we can look forward to applications and services available when we need them from anywhere, anytime and for only as long as we need them.
There are no 'thin-clients anymore. Even cell-phones have multiple *CPUs and lots of memory. Only the size and shape of clients are changing and getting more compact. The processing power available from clients is huge and an almost untapped resource. This offers exciting new opportunities for moving processing and application support to the front-end and away from the data centers.
*CPUs = Central Processing Units / Computer Processing Unit
And finally...
In the future all desktops will be a simple framework written in a language yet to be created but, I suspect, close to Java and *XML. Configurable and able to agnostically respond to any application need while completely abstracted from the underlying operating system and independent of the data center for resourcing. Some might say that VDI is close to this state but, I would hazard that it's not close enough.

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